**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration place Taipei's daytime high on August 19 in the 32–35°C range under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This supports the market's tight clustering around 33°C (36%) and 34°C (28%), as convective activity and timing of any rainfall can readily shift the peak by 1–2°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and the urban heat island effect, amplify sensitivity to cloud cover and wind patterns. Ensemble models show modest spread due to steering flow uncertainty and localized shower development, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C (26.5%) viable if convection arrives earlier. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 19?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
21%
33°C
36%
34°C
23%
35°C
15%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 23%
31°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
1%
30°C
$72 Vol.
5%
31°C
$15 Vol.
14%
32°C
$21 Vol.
21%
33°C
$299 Vol.
36%
34°C
$51 Vol.
23%
35°C
$204 Vol.
15%
36°C or higher
$82 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration place Taipei's daytime high on August 19 in the 32–35°C range under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This supports the market's tight clustering around 33°C (36%) and 34°C (28%), as convective activity and timing of any rainfall can readily shift the peak by 1–2°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and the urban heat island effect, amplify sensitivity to cloud cover and wind patterns. Ensemble models show modest spread due to steering flow uncertainty and localized shower development, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C (26.5%) viable if convection arrives earlier. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,269Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration place Taipei's daytime high on August 19 in the 32–35°C range under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This supports the market's tight clustering around 33°C (36%) and 34°C (28%), as convective activity and timing of any rainfall can readily shift the peak by 1–2°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and the urban heat island effect, amplify sensitivity to cloud cover and wind patterns. Ensemble models show modest spread due to steering flow uncertainty and localized shower development, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C (26.5%) viable if convection arrives earlier. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,269Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration place Taipei's daytime high on August 19 in the 32–35°C range under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon thundershowers.** This supports the market's tight clustering around 33°C (36%) and 34°C (28%), as convective activity and timing of any rainfall can readily shift the peak by 1–2°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and the urban heat island effect, amplify sensitivity to cloud cover and wind patterns. Ensemble models show modest spread due to steering flow uncertainty and localized shower development, keeping lower outcomes like 32°C (26.5%) viable if convection arrives earlier. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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