Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Moscow under increasing cloud cover and light showers on August 19, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 19–20 °C. Recent model runs have trended cooler than earlier guidance as a mid-level trough strengthens northerly flow, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Historical August maxima average 22 °C, yet current surface pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures align more closely with 18–19 °C outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability in this narrow band because resolution hinges on the official recorded high at the Moscow observatory, which can shift 1–2 °C with small changes in timing of any clearing or rainfall. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 32%
18°C 24%
20°C 18%
17°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
32%
20°C
18%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 32%
18°C 24%
20°C 18%
17°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$460 Vol.
4%
17°C
$89 Vol.
12%
18°C
$35 Vol.
24%
19°C
$18 Vol.
32%
20°C
$192 Vol.
18%
21°C
$41 Vol.
7%
22°C
$17 Vol.
3%
23°C
$110 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,057 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Moscow under increasing cloud cover and light showers on August 19, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 19–20 °C. Recent model runs have trended cooler than earlier guidance as a mid-level trough strengthens northerly flow, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Historical August maxima average 22 °C, yet current surface pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures align more closely with 18–19 °C outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability in this narrow band because resolution hinges on the official recorded high at the Moscow observatory, which can shift 1–2 °C with small changes in timing of any clearing or rainfall. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,030Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Moscow under increasing cloud cover and light showers on August 19, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 19–20 °C. Recent model runs have trended cooler than earlier guidance as a mid-level trough strengthens northerly flow, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Historical August maxima average 22 °C, yet current surface pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures align more closely with 18–19 °C outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability in this narrow band because resolution hinges on the official recorded high at the Moscow observatory, which can shift 1–2 °C with small changes in timing of any clearing or rainfall. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,030Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers show Moscow under increasing cloud cover and light showers on August 19, limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 19–20 °C. Recent model runs have trended cooler than earlier guidance as a mid-level trough strengthens northerly flow, suppressing the typical late-summer diurnal rise. Historical August maxima average 22 °C, yet current surface pressure patterns and 850 hPa temperatures align more closely with 18–19 °C outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability in this narrow band because resolution hinges on the official recorded high at the Moscow observatory, which can shift 1–2 °C with small changes in timing of any clearing or rainfall. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine the precise threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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