Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daily highs of 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 19, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 65%. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate produces peak summer heat with typical August maxima of 33–36°C amid high humidity; recent model runs show consistency around this range, tempered by expected thundershowers that could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief cooling. Shorter-range uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing, while historical data show occasional excursions above 37°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 19?
35°C 42%
36°C 25%
34°C 23%
33°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
23%
35°C
42%
36°C
25%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
36°C 25%
34°C 23%
33°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
29°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$191 Vol.
1%
31°C
$458 Vol.
1%
32°C
$782 Vol.
2%
33°C
$567 Vol.
6%
34°C
$771 Vol.
23%
35°C
$823 Vol.
42%
36°C
$2,581 Vol.
25%
37°C
$424 Vol.
4%
38°C
$176 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$274 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daily highs of 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 19, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 65%. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate produces peak summer heat with typical August maxima of 33–36°C amid high humidity; recent model runs show consistency around this range, tempered by expected thundershowers that could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief cooling. Shorter-range uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing, while historical data show occasional excursions above 37°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,233Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daily highs of 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 19, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 65%. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate produces peak summer heat with typical August maxima of 33–36°C amid high humidity; recent model runs show consistency around this range, tempered by expected thundershowers that could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief cooling. Shorter-range uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing, while historical data show occasional excursions above 37°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,233Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate daily highs of 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 19, positioning these as the leading market outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 65%. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate produces peak summer heat with typical August maxima of 33–36°C amid high humidity; recent model runs show consistency around this range, tempered by expected thundershowers that could limit peak temperatures through cloud cover or brief cooling. Shorter-range uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or rainfall timing, while historical data show occasional excursions above 37°C under clearer, drier conditions. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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