Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a chance of light showers. These conditions draw cooler maritime air from the Baltic Sea, limiting afternoon heating and aligning with late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This forecast consensus, showing limited ensemble spread, underpins trader positioning that favors 20–22°C outcomes as the most probable while assigning lower implied probabilities to extremes above 23°C or below 19°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in Baltic pressure patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 19?
21°C 37%
22°C 27%
20°C 25%
19°C 9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
37%
22°C
27%
23°C
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 27%
20°C 25%
19°C 9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
25%
21°C
37%
22°C
27%
23°C
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Helsinki on August 19 under partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a chance of light showers. These conditions draw cooler maritime air from the Baltic Sea, limiting afternoon heating and aligning with late-summer climatological norms of 18–20°C. This forecast consensus, showing limited ensemble spread, underpins trader positioning that favors 20–22°C outcomes as the most probable while assigning lower implied probabilities to extremes above 23°C or below 19°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in Baltic pressure patterns remain key variables ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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