Current forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 19 amid continued hot, humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Persistent easterly flow and lingering moisture following Typhoon Dolphin’s influence are moderating extreme daytime heat while limiting radiative cooling at night, keeping lows in the 26–28°C range consistent with August climatology. Model guidance shows minor spreads due to variable shower timing and urban heat island effects at the official headquarters station, where resolution depends on the recorded daily minimum. Updated HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
41%
28°C
19%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 30%
25°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
16%
26°C
36%
27°C
41%
28°C
19%
29°C
12%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory points to overnight minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 19 amid continued hot, humid conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Persistent easterly flow and lingering moisture following Typhoon Dolphin’s influence are moderating extreme daytime heat while limiting radiative cooling at night, keeping lows in the 26–28°C range consistent with August climatology. Model guidance shows minor spreads due to variable shower timing and urban heat island effects at the official headquarters station, where resolution depends on the recorded daily minimum. Updated HKO briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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