Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by typical early-August subtropical high influence, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits full solar heating. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched implied probabilities around these values aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or heatwave intensification expected in the next 48 hours. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 31–32°C, providing a baseline that current runs have not significantly deviated from, while resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum recorded at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
33°C 34%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
34%
34°C
19%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 34%
32°C 25%
34°C 19%
31°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$637 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$445 Vol.
1%
29°C
$328 Vol.
3%
30°C
$151 Vol.
4%
31°C
$112 Vol.
11%
32°C
$361 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,420 Vol.
34%
34°C
$241 Vol.
19%
35°C
$150 Vol.
9%
36°C or higher
$167 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by typical early-August subtropical high influence, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits full solar heating. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched implied probabilities around these values aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or heatwave intensification expected in the next 48 hours. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 31–32°C, providing a baseline that current runs have not significantly deviated from, while resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,185Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by typical early-August subtropical high influence, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits full solar heating. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched implied probabilities around these values aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or heatwave intensification expected in the next 48 hours. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 31–32°C, providing a baseline that current runs have not significantly deviated from, while resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,185Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Chengdu on August 8 most likely between 32–33°C, driven by typical early-August subtropical high influence, moderate humidity, and variable cloud cover that limits full solar heating. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched implied probabilities around these values aligns with ensemble guidance showing limited day-to-day variability and no strong frontal systems or heatwave intensification expected in the next 48 hours. Historical climatology places early-August highs near 31–32°C, providing a baseline that current runs have not significantly deviated from, while resolution hinges on the precise observed maximum recorded at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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