Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services point to a daily high near 33–34°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 36% implied probability. August averages in the Sichuan Basin typically reach 33–34°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, though variable cloud cover, monsoon moisture, and possible light rain can cap maxima by 1–2°C. Recent national heat alerts and basin-wide patterns have sustained elevated baselines without pushing extremes for this date, while model consensus narrows the range around 31–33°C. Traders weigh these factors against forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering winds or precipitation timing could alter the recorded peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 8?
32°C 36%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
20%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 22%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
36%
33°C
20%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services point to a daily high near 33–34°C for Chongqing on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 36% implied probability. August averages in the Sichuan Basin typically reach 33–34°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, though variable cloud cover, monsoon moisture, and possible light rain can cap maxima by 1–2°C. Recent national heat alerts and basin-wide patterns have sustained elevated baselines without pushing extremes for this date, while model consensus narrows the range around 31–33°C. Traders weigh these factors against forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering winds or precipitation timing could alter the recorded peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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