Latest National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on August 5 points to a peak temperature in the 100–101 °F range, driving the 53.5 % market-implied probability. Strong high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, combined with above-average soil moisture deficits and light winds, favors efficient daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon highs centered near 100 °F, with only modest spread that keeps the 98–99 °F and 102–103 °F bins as secondary possibilities. No significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before evening, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for last-minute model shifts on the morning of the 5th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 5?
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
BARU
$17,538 Vol.
BARU
$17,538 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
54%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 54%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 15%
104-105°F 5%
BARU
$17,538 Vol.
BARU
$17,538 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
93°F or below
$5,739 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,701 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,381 Vol.
29%
100-101°F
$3,585 Vol.
54%
102-103°F
$976 Vol.
15%
104-105°F
$1,003 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$364 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$607 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$292 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on August 5 points to a peak temperature in the 100–101 °F range, driving the 53.5 % market-implied probability. Strong high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, combined with above-average soil moisture deficits and light winds, favors efficient daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon highs centered near 100 °F, with only modest spread that keeps the 98–99 °F and 102–103 °F bins as secondary possibilities. No significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before evening, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for last-minute model shifts on the morning of the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$17,538Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on August 5 points to a peak temperature in the 100–101 °F range, driving the 53.5 % market-implied probability. Strong high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, combined with above-average soil moisture deficits and light winds, favors efficient daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon highs centered near 100 °F, with only modest spread that keeps the 98–99 °F and 102–103 °F bins as secondary possibilities. No significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before evening, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for last-minute model shifts on the morning of the 5th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,538Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 5, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model consensus for Dallas on August 5 points to a peak temperature in the 100–101 °F range, driving the 53.5 % market-implied probability. Strong high-pressure ridging over the southern Plains, combined with above-average soil moisture deficits and light winds, favors efficient daytime heating and minimal cloud cover. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows afternoon highs centered near 100 °F, with only modest spread that keeps the 98–99 °F and 102–103 °F bins as secondary possibilities. No significant frontal passage or moisture surge is expected before evening, supporting the current trader consensus while leaving room for last-minute model shifts on the morning of the 5th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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