Forecast models from NOAA and private sources position overnight lows in the 68–73°F range as the dominant outcomes for New York City on August 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate dew points in the low 60s, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where Central Park normals hover near 70°F, though the broader warmer-than-average summer has kept recent minima slightly elevated. Traders have concentrated probability on 70–71°F because ensemble guidance shows limited overnight drop potential absent stronger high pressure or drier air. Final resolution will depend on the official minimum reported by the National Weather Service at Central Park, with any late-day frontal passage or increased cloud cover the main variables that could shift readings lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 35%
68-69°F 21%
64-65°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 35%
68-69°F 21%
64-65°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$281 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$573 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$420 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$419 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$201 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$200 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$434 Vol.
44%
72-73°F
$359 Vol.
29%
74-75°F
$297 Vol.
4%
76°F or higher
$433 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private sources position overnight lows in the 68–73°F range as the dominant outcomes for New York City on August 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate dew points in the low 60s, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where Central Park normals hover near 70°F, though the broader warmer-than-average summer has kept recent minima slightly elevated. Traders have concentrated probability on 70–71°F because ensemble guidance shows limited overnight drop potential absent stronger high pressure or drier air. Final resolution will depend on the official minimum reported by the National Weather Service at Central Park, with any late-day frontal passage or increased cloud cover the main variables that could shift readings lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$3,918Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and private sources position overnight lows in the 68–73°F range as the dominant outcomes for New York City on August 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate dew points in the low 60s, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where Central Park normals hover near 70°F, though the broader warmer-than-average summer has kept recent minima slightly elevated. Traders have concentrated probability on 70–71°F because ensemble guidance shows limited overnight drop potential absent stronger high pressure or drier air. Final resolution will depend on the official minimum reported by the National Weather Service at Central Park, with any late-day frontal passage or increased cloud cover the main variables that could shift readings lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,918Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and private sources position overnight lows in the 68–73°F range as the dominant outcomes for New York City on August 15, reflecting clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate dew points in the low 60s, and light winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where Central Park normals hover near 70°F, though the broader warmer-than-average summer has kept recent minima slightly elevated. Traders have concentrated probability on 70–71°F because ensemble guidance shows limited overnight drop potential absent stronger high pressure or drier air. Final resolution will depend on the official minimum reported by the National Weather Service at Central Park, with any late-day frontal passage or increased cloud cover the main variables that could shift readings lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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