Current forecast models place Jeddah’s peak temperature for August 24 in the upper 30s °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest day-to-day variability driven by Red Sea moisture, light northwesterly winds, and urban heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average near 38 °C, yet coastal moderation and occasional haze can shave 1–2 °C off peaks, explaining why the 37 °C and 38 °C bins command the highest implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C limit further intensification, while any strengthening of offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 39–40 °C. Traders are therefore focused on the next high-resolution model runs and the official Saudi meteorological station reading that will determine the exact daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 24?
38°C 35%
37°C 26%
36°C 21%
39°C 16%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
21%
37°C
26%
38°C
35%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
12%
38°C 35%
37°C 26%
36°C 21%
39°C 16%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
21%
37°C
26%
38°C
35%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models place Jeddah’s peak temperature for August 24 in the upper 30s °C, with ensemble guidance showing modest day-to-day variability driven by Red Sea moisture, light northwesterly winds, and urban heat-island effects. Historical August maxima average near 38 °C, yet coastal moderation and occasional haze can shave 1–2 °C off peaks, explaining why the 37 °C and 38 °C bins command the highest implied probabilities. Persistent high humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C limit further intensification, while any strengthening of offshore flow or clearer skies could push readings toward 39–40 °C. Traders are therefore focused on the next high-resolution model runs and the official Saudi meteorological station reading that will determine the exact daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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