Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate Paris temperatures moderating to a daily maximum near 23°C on August 22 amid post-heatwave cooling, increased cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and incoming maritime air masses that limit diurnal heating. This synoptic pattern, following earlier peaks near 30°C, positions 23°C as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 22°C close behind, consistent with ensemble consensus and late-August climatology averaging 23–25°C. Low odds on 25°C or higher reflect the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or southerly flow, while showers and unsettled conditions add minor uncertainty ahead of the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 22?
23°C 49%
24°C 28%
22°C 17%
25°C 5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
17%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
24°C 28%
22°C 17%
25°C 5%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
17%
23°C
49%
24°C
28%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate Paris temperatures moderating to a daily maximum near 23°C on August 22 amid post-heatwave cooling, increased cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds, and incoming maritime air masses that limit diurnal heating. This synoptic pattern, following earlier peaks near 30°C, positions 23°C as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, with 24°C and 22°C close behind, consistent with ensemble consensus and late-August climatology averaging 23–25°C. Low odds on 25°C or higher reflect the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or southerly flow, while showers and unsettled conditions add minor uncertainty ahead of the weekend.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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