Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 near 11–13°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological averages for late August and follows a period of slightly above-normal warmth earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Market odds clustered around both sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on potential model revisions or localized variability rather than current deterministic guidance. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the date will likely narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 95%
7°C 33%
8°C 33%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
95%
7°C
33%
8°C
33%
9°C
19%
10°C
19%
11°C
19%
12°C
19%
13°C
19%
14°C
17%
15°C
17%
16°C or higher
95%
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 95%
7°C 33%
8°C 33%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
7°C
$5 Vol.
33%
8°C
$5 Vol.
33%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
17%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C or higher
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 near 11–13°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological averages for late August and follows a period of slightly above-normal warmth earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Market odds clustered around both sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on potential model revisions or localized variability rather than current deterministic guidance. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the date will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 near 11–13°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological averages for late August and follows a period of slightly above-normal warmth earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Market odds clustered around both sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on potential model revisions or localized variability rather than current deterministic guidance. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the date will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS, indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 24 near 11–13°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow that favors radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological averages for late August and follows a period of slightly above-normal warmth earlier in the month. Ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, though subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture or cloud cover could shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Market odds clustered around both sub-6°C and 16°C+ outcomes reflect trader emphasis on potential model revisions or localized variability rather than current deterministic guidance. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the date will likely narrow the range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan