Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 22 settling near 12–14°C under northwest flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's tight clustering at 13°C (42%) and 14°C (38%). A cooler maritime air mass following recent showers has suppressed radiative cooling while maintaining dew points near 11–12°C, limiting further drops. Historical late-August baselines average around 13°C at Schiphol, with ensemble spreads indicating low likelihood of sub-12°C readings absent stronger high pressure. Traders weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of the final 24-hour update, recognizing that small steering shifts or cloud-cover changes could nudge the outcome between the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
15°C 17%
12°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
9%
10°C
9%
11°C
10%
12°C
20%
13°C
42%
14°C
38%
15°C
17%
16°C
7%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 42%
14°C 38%
15°C 17%
12°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
8°C or below
$25 Vol.
2%
9°C
$0 Vol.
9%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
10%
12°C
$8 Vol.
20%
13°C
$0 Vol.
42%
14°C
$0 Vol.
38%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
7%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C or higher
$13 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 22 settling near 12–14°C under northwest flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's tight clustering at 13°C (42%) and 14°C (38%). A cooler maritime air mass following recent showers has suppressed radiative cooling while maintaining dew points near 11–12°C, limiting further drops. Historical late-August baselines average around 13°C at Schiphol, with ensemble spreads indicating low likelihood of sub-12°C readings absent stronger high pressure. Traders weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of the final 24-hour update, recognizing that small steering shifts or cloud-cover changes could nudge the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 22 settling near 12–14°C under northwest flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's tight clustering at 13°C (42%) and 14°C (38%). A cooler maritime air mass following recent showers has suppressed radiative cooling while maintaining dew points near 11–12°C, limiting further drops. Historical late-August baselines average around 13°C at Schiphol, with ensemble spreads indicating low likelihood of sub-12°C readings absent stronger high pressure. Traders weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of the final 24-hour update, recognizing that small steering shifts or cloud-cover changes could nudge the outcome between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus show Amsterdam's overnight minimum on August 22 settling near 12–14°C under northwest flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's tight clustering at 13°C (42%) and 14°C (38%). A cooler maritime air mass following recent showers has suppressed radiative cooling while maintaining dew points near 11–12°C, limiting further drops. Historical late-August baselines average around 13°C at Schiphol, with ensemble spreads indicating low likelihood of sub-12°C readings absent stronger high pressure. Traders weigh these near-term model runs heavily ahead of the final 24-hour update, recognizing that small steering shifts or cloud-cover changes could nudge the outcome between the two leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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