Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a moderating influence from scattered thunderstorms and a seasonal cooling trend, positioning 24–25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 22. These outcomes together command 65% of market-implied probability because mid-August normals near 25°C are tempered by increased cloud cover and moisture, limiting daytime heating compared with earlier summer peaks. Higher outcomes above 26°C remain possible only if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings would require stronger onshore flow or prolonged precipitation. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 22?
25°C 35%
24°C 30%
23°C 15%
26°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
35%
26°C
13%
27°C
7%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
24°C 30%
23°C 15%
26°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$42 Vol.
15%
24°C
$111 Vol.
30%
25°C
$65 Vol.
35%
26°C
$169 Vol.
13%
27°C
$409 Vol.
7%
28°C
$25 Vol.
3%
29°C
$28 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a moderating influence from scattered thunderstorms and a seasonal cooling trend, positioning 24–25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 22. These outcomes together command 65% of market-implied probability because mid-August normals near 25°C are tempered by increased cloud cover and moisture, limiting daytime heating compared with earlier summer peaks. Higher outcomes above 26°C remain possible only if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings would require stronger onshore flow or prolonged precipitation. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,012Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a moderating influence from scattered thunderstorms and a seasonal cooling trend, positioning 24–25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 22. These outcomes together command 65% of market-implied probability because mid-August normals near 25°C are tempered by increased cloud cover and moisture, limiting daytime heating compared with earlier summer peaks. Higher outcomes above 26°C remain possible only if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings would require stronger onshore flow or prolonged precipitation. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,012Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble models indicate a moderating influence from scattered thunderstorms and a seasonal cooling trend, positioning 24–25°C as the most probable high for Toronto on August 22. These outcomes together command 65% of market-implied probability because mid-August normals near 25°C are tempered by increased cloud cover and moisture, limiting daytime heating compared with earlier summer peaks. Higher outcomes above 26°C remain possible only if skies clear earlier than expected, while cooler readings would require stronger onshore flow or prolonged precipitation. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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