Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 21–23°C for Munich on August 21, with light showers or thundery conditions possible under westerly flow. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (45%) and 22°C (22.5%), reflecting late-summer cooling as daily highs decline from mid-August peaks near 28–30°C. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage, which could cap the maximum if cloud cover or rain arrives earlier. Historical August averages (around 22–23°C) and the current downward seasonal trend further support these central outcomes over warmer or much cooler results. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 21?
21°C 25%
22°C 19%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
14%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
6%
21°C 25%
22°C 19%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
8%
20°C
14%
21°C
25%
22°C
19%
23°C
18%
24°C or higher
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a high of 21–23°C for Munich on August 21, with light showers or thundery conditions possible under westerly flow. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 21°C (45%) and 22°C (22.5%), reflecting late-summer cooling as daily highs decline from mid-August peaks near 28–30°C. Ensemble models show modest uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage, which could cap the maximum if cloud cover or rain arrives earlier. Historical August averages (around 22–23°C) and the current downward seasonal trend further support these central outcomes over warmer or much cooler results. Updated model runs and official DWD guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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