Latest numerical weather models from sources like AccuWeather and ECMWF point to a daytime high near 21–23°C for Moscow on August 21 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the ongoing late-August cooling trend, where regional highs have steadily declined from the mid-20s earlier in the month amid northerly flow and increasing cloud cover. Traders weigh these short-range forecasts heavily against historical August averages around 20–22°C, with minimal model spread supporting tight clustering of probabilities around the most likely outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any subtle shifts from evolving pressure patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
26°C or higher 33%
19°C 28%
22°C 27%
23°C 26%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
28%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
33%
26°C or higher 33%
19°C 28%
22°C 27%
23°C 26%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
28%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C
27%
23°C
26%
24°C
25%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from sources like AccuWeather and ECMWF point to a daytime high near 21–23°C for Moscow on August 21 under partly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the ongoing late-August cooling trend, where regional highs have steadily declined from the mid-20s earlier in the month amid northerly flow and increasing cloud cover. Traders weigh these short-range forecasts heavily against historical August averages around 20–22°C, with minimal model spread supporting tight clustering of probabilities around the most likely outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine any subtle shifts from evolving pressure patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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