Wellington's maritime climate in mid-winter typically produces daytime highs near 11–12°C, and current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and MetService align with this range for August 19. A recent polar air outbreak earlier in the month brought brief colder conditions, but the seasonal outlook through August emphasizes near-average temperatures overall, with only modest deviations expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong consensus around 11°C as the modal outcome while assigning lower probability to warmer or colder extremes based on steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and any late-week synoptic shifts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 19?
11°C 56%
12°C 22%
10°C 16%
13°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
16%
11°C
56%
12°C
22%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 56%
12°C 22%
10°C 16%
13°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
5°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$5 Vol.
2%
9°C
$108 Vol.
3%
10°C
$361 Vol.
16%
11°C
$1,355 Vol.
56%
12°C
$432 Vol.
22%
13°C
$107 Vol.
3%
14°C
$5 Vol.
2%
15°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's maritime climate in mid-winter typically produces daytime highs near 11–12°C, and current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and MetService align with this range for August 19. A recent polar air outbreak earlier in the month brought brief colder conditions, but the seasonal outlook through August emphasizes near-average temperatures overall, with only modest deviations expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong consensus around 11°C as the modal outcome while assigning lower probability to warmer or colder extremes based on steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and any late-week synoptic shifts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,901Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington's maritime climate in mid-winter typically produces daytime highs near 11–12°C, and current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and MetService align with this range for August 19. A recent polar air outbreak earlier in the month brought brief colder conditions, but the seasonal outlook through August emphasizes near-average temperatures overall, with only modest deviations expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong consensus around 11°C as the modal outcome while assigning lower probability to warmer or colder extremes based on steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and any late-week synoptic shifts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,901Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington's maritime climate in mid-winter typically produces daytime highs near 11–12°C, and current forecast models from agencies including NIWA and MetService align with this range for August 19. A recent polar air outbreak earlier in the month brought brief colder conditions, but the seasonal outlook through August emphasizes near-average temperatures overall, with only modest deviations expected. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's strong consensus around 11°C as the modal outcome while assigning lower probability to warmer or colder extremes based on steering patterns and cloud cover. Updated model runs and any late-week synoptic shifts will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan