Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
29°C 23%
26°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
18%
27°C
32%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
28°C 26%
29°C 23%
26°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
25°C
$6 Vol.
5%
26°C
$76 Vol.
18%
27°C
$52 Vol.
32%
28°C
$38 Vol.
26%
29°C
$344 Vol.
23%
30°C
$299 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5 Vol.
6%
32°C
$17 Vol.
2%
33°C
$5 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$852Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$852Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show Munich maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely falling in the 27–30 °C range, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market odds between 28 °C and 29 °C. Primary drivers include a broad high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and strong daytime insolation, modulated by modest boundary-layer moisture that could trigger scattered afternoon cumulus and slight cooling. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and precise timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shift introduce the remaining uncertainty that keeps 27 °C and 30 °C outcomes viable. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the distribution before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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