Recent short-range forecasts from global models, including those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, indicate daytime highs in Istanbul on August 21 around 29–32 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with the broader August climatology of average highs near 29 °C and follows a period of above-normal warmth across Turkey after the country’s 19th-hottest July on record. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge and any late adjustments in steering flow that could allow slightly cooler maritime air or enhance daytime heating. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
25°C 46%
27°C 46%
32°C or higher 44%
30°C 43%
22°C or below
12%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
46%
26°C
33%
27°C
46%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
43%
31°C
43%
32°C or higher
44%
25°C 46%
27°C 46%
32°C or higher 44%
30°C 43%
22°C or below
12%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
46%
26°C
33%
27°C
46%
28°C
28%
29°C
24%
30°C
43%
31°C
43%
32°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from global models, including those referenced by the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources like ECMWF and GFS, indicate daytime highs in Istanbul on August 21 around 29–32 °C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. This aligns with the broader August climatology of average highs near 29 °C and follows a period of above-normal warmth across Turkey after the country’s 19th-hottest July on record. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge and any late adjustments in steering flow that could allow slightly cooler maritime air or enhance daytime heating. Updated model runs and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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