Singapore's tropical climate under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions typically produces daily highs near 31°C in mid-August, with historical averages from long-term records showing limited deviation beyond 30–32°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent drier conditions and below-normal rainfall outlooks tied to emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole phases have supported slightly elevated maxima around 32–34°C in early August, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 52% implied probability while 31°C holds secondary support. Official forecasts for August 19 align closely with this range, and traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of extremes given consistent humidity, cloud cover, and limited intensification potential from regional steering patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on August 19?
32°C 52%
31°C 24%
33°C 16%
29°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
24%
32°C
52%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 24%
33°C 16%
29°C 8%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
5%
31°C
24%
32°C
52%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's tropical climate under prevailing Southwest Monsoon conditions typically produces daily highs near 31°C in mid-August, with historical averages from long-term records showing limited deviation beyond 30–32°C absent unusual atmospheric patterns. Recent drier conditions and below-normal rainfall outlooks tied to emerging El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole phases have supported slightly elevated maxima around 32–34°C in early August, positioning 32°C as the market leader at 52% implied probability while 31°C holds secondary support. Official forecasts for August 19 align closely with this range, and traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of extremes given consistent humidity, cloud cover, and limited intensification potential from regional steering patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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