Recent tropical moisture influx and the remnants of weakened systems like Neneng, combined with potential steering influences from developing disturbances, are elevating cloud cover and precipitation chances over Manila for August 23. Official PAGASA monitoring and ensemble forecasts indicate scattered thunderstorms with 50-80% rain probabilities, which typically cap daytime maxima near 29-31°C (84-88°F) through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This aligns with climatological August norms but introduces downward pressure on peak readings relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Traders are weighting the timing of any convective bursts, as delayed or lighter rainfall could allow brief warmer spikes toward 32°C before resolution criteria are met. Updated model runs from global agencies will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
30°C 30%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
18%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
31°C 21%
33°C 18%
29°C 18%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
30%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
18%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent tropical moisture influx and the remnants of weakened systems like Neneng, combined with potential steering influences from developing disturbances, are elevating cloud cover and precipitation chances over Manila for August 23. Official PAGASA monitoring and ensemble forecasts indicate scattered thunderstorms with 50-80% rain probabilities, which typically cap daytime maxima near 29-31°C (84-88°F) through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. This aligns with climatological August norms but introduces downward pressure on peak readings relative to clearer periods earlier in the month. Traders are weighting the timing of any convective bursts, as delayed or lighter rainfall could allow brief warmer spikes toward 32°C before resolution criteria are met. Updated model runs from global agencies will refine these variables ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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