Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the primary driver behind current trader positioning, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that moderate nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. PAGASA outlooks project a 24°C low for August 23 amid 80% rain chances, aligning with AccuWeather's seasonal range of 24.1–26.9°C overnight lows and historical August minima near 25°C. This supports elevated implied probability on the 21°C-or-below outcome while keeping mid-20s thresholds competitive, as further intensification of monsoon flow or heavier overnight rainfall could push readings lower before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
22°C 34%
21°C or below 29%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
29%
22°C
34%
23°C
24%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
26%
22°C 34%
21°C or below 29%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
29%
22°C
$31 Vol.
34%
23°C
$0 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
25%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$27 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the primary driver behind current trader positioning, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that moderate nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. PAGASA outlooks project a 24°C low for August 23 amid 80% rain chances, aligning with AccuWeather's seasonal range of 24.1–26.9°C overnight lows and historical August minima near 25°C. This supports elevated implied probability on the 21°C-or-below outcome while keeping mid-20s thresholds competitive, as further intensification of monsoon flow or heavier overnight rainfall could push readings lower before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$62Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the primary driver behind current trader positioning, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that moderate nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. PAGASA outlooks project a 24°C low for August 23 amid 80% rain chances, aligning with AccuWeather's seasonal range of 24.1–26.9°C overnight lows and historical August minima near 25°C. This supports elevated implied probability on the 21°C-or-below outcome while keeping mid-20s thresholds competitive, as further intensification of monsoon flow or heavier overnight rainfall could push readings lower before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity over Luzon is the primary driver behind current trader positioning, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and elevated humidity that moderate nighttime radiative cooling in Manila. PAGASA outlooks project a 24°C low for August 23 amid 80% rain chances, aligning with AccuWeather's seasonal range of 24.1–26.9°C overnight lows and historical August minima near 25°C. This supports elevated implied probability on the 21°C-or-below outcome while keeping mid-20s thresholds competitive, as further intensification of monsoon flow or heavier overnight rainfall could push readings lower before the market resolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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