Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over Texas have sustained triple-digit heat across Central Texas, with recent days recording highs of 102–104°F and heat indices reaching 107–111°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model consensus project a peak near 103–105°F for August 22, driven by strong solar heating, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, reflecting tight model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging small uncertainties from afternoon wind shifts or minor convective development that could nudge the exact maximum one to two degrees higher or lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 22?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 22?
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 22%
106-107°F 18%
110-111°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
8%
102-103°F
22%
104-105°F
29%
106-107°F
18%
108-109°F
12%
110-111°F
13%
112-113°F
6%
114°F or higher
9%
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 22%
106-107°F 18%
110-111°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
95°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$25 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
8%
102-103°F
$12 Vol.
22%
104-105°F
$12 Vol.
29%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
18%
108-109°F
$25 Vol.
12%
110-111°F
$32 Vol.
13%
112-113°F
$22 Vol.
6%
114°F or higher
$25 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over Texas have sustained triple-digit heat across Central Texas, with recent days recording highs of 102–104°F and heat indices reaching 107–111°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model consensus project a peak near 103–105°F for August 22, driven by strong solar heating, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, reflecting tight model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging small uncertainties from afternoon wind shifts or minor convective development that could nudge the exact maximum one to two degrees higher or lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$153Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over Texas have sustained triple-digit heat across Central Texas, with recent days recording highs of 102–104°F and heat indices reaching 107–111°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model consensus project a peak near 103–105°F for August 22, driven by strong solar heating, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, reflecting tight model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging small uncertainties from afternoon wind shifts or minor convective development that could nudge the exact maximum one to two degrees higher or lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$153Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a heat dome over Texas have sustained triple-digit heat across Central Texas, with recent days recording highs of 102–104°F and heat indices reaching 107–111°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Official forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and model consensus project a peak near 103–105°F for August 22, driven by strong solar heating, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader sentiment clusters around the 104–105°F bin as the most probable outcome, reflecting tight model agreement on these conditions while acknowledging small uncertainties from afternoon wind shifts or minor convective development that could nudge the exact maximum one to two degrees higher or lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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