Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies will produce a minimum temperature most likely between 70–73°F on August 20, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows near 67°F rise amid above-normal monthly temperatures. High dew points near 70°F and light winds limit further cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle wind shift could push readings a degree or two higher. Trader consensus around the 70–73°F bins reflects tight model agreement on these boundary-layer conditions, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at Central Park.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 20?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 38%
74-75°F 27%
68-69°F 10%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 38%
74-75°F 27%
68-69°F 10%
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80°F or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies will produce a minimum temperature most likely between 70–73°F on August 20, consistent with late-summer climatology where average lows near 67°F rise amid above-normal monthly temperatures. High dew points near 70°F and light winds limit further cooling, while any increase in cloud cover or a subtle wind shift could push readings a degree or two higher. Trader consensus around the 70–73°F bins reflects tight model agreement on these boundary-layer conditions, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at Central Park.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan