Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for San Francisco on August 22 project afternoon highs near 69–71°F at key stations like KSFO, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 31.5% implied probability. A persistent marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and moderate onshore sea breezes under a stable pressure pattern, continues to cap solar heating and maintain near-normal August conditions. Limited model spread and the absence of heat-wave signals keep 68–69°F and 72–73°F brackets as viable alternatives, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum amid typical fog and stratus variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 22?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 22?
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 25%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
6%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 25%
74-75°F 21%
72-73°F 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
59°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$30 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$21 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$17 Vol.
11%
68-69°F
$13 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$14 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$31 Vol.
18%
74-75°F
$105 Vol.
21%
76-77°F
$25 Vol.
6%
78°F or higher
$62 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for San Francisco on August 22 project afternoon highs near 69–71°F at key stations like KSFO, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 31.5% implied probability. A persistent marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and moderate onshore sea breezes under a stable pressure pattern, continues to cap solar heating and maintain near-normal August conditions. Limited model spread and the absence of heat-wave signals keep 68–69°F and 72–73°F brackets as viable alternatives, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum amid typical fog and stratus variability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$319Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for San Francisco on August 22 project afternoon highs near 69–71°F at key stations like KSFO, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 31.5% implied probability. A persistent marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and moderate onshore sea breezes under a stable pressure pattern, continues to cap solar heating and maintain near-normal August conditions. Limited model spread and the absence of heat-wave signals keep 68–69°F and 72–73°F brackets as viable alternatives, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum amid typical fog and stratus variability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$319Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance for San Francisco on August 22 project afternoon highs near 69–71°F at key stations like KSFO, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 31.5% implied probability. A persistent marine layer, reinforced by coastal upwelling of cold Pacific waters and moderate onshore sea breezes under a stable pressure pattern, continues to cap solar heating and maintain near-normal August conditions. Limited model spread and the absence of heat-wave signals keep 68–69°F and 72–73°F brackets as viable alternatives, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum amid typical fog and stratus variability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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