**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 21, 2026, centers on 68–69°F as the most probable outcome, reflecting a stable marine-influenced pattern typical of late summer in the region.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and recent observations show daily highs holding in the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited day-to-day variability due to a persistent marine layer and consistent onshore flow from the Pacific. This setup suppresses significant warming, keeping readings close to the August climatological average of roughly 67°F while allowing modest afternoon peaks near 68–70°F when skies clear enough for brief solar heating. Recent data reinforce this positioning: highs have clustered tightly between 66–69°F over the past week amid a quasi-stationary weather pattern, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow to drive a heat surge. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather points to similar conditions on the 21st, with highs forecast around 68–70°F and low odds of exceeding 72°F or falling below 66°F. The market’s implied probabilities align closely with these near-term guidance trends, as traders weigh the low likelihood of rapid pattern changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 21?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 21?
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 18%
72-73°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
$25 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$55 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$197 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$335 Vol.
18%
68-69°F
$743 Vol.
41%
70-71°F
$28 Vol.
26%
72-73°F
$283 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$843 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$11 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$15 Vol.
<1%
80°F or higher
$19 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 21, 2026, centers on 68–69°F as the most probable outcome, reflecting a stable marine-influenced pattern typical of late summer in the region.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and recent observations show daily highs holding in the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited day-to-day variability due to a persistent marine layer and consistent onshore flow from the Pacific. This setup suppresses significant warming, keeping readings close to the August climatological average of roughly 67°F while allowing modest afternoon peaks near 68–70°F when skies clear enough for brief solar heating.
Recent data reinforce this positioning: highs have clustered tightly between 66–69°F over the past week amid a quasi-stationary weather pattern, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow to drive a heat surge. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather points to similar conditions on the 21st, with highs forecast around 68–70°F and low odds of exceeding 72°F or falling below 66°F. The market’s implied probabilities align closely with these near-term guidance trends, as traders weigh the low likelihood of rapid pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,554Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 21, 2026, centers on 68–69°F as the most probable outcome, reflecting a stable marine-influenced pattern typical of late summer in the region.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and recent observations show daily highs holding in the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited day-to-day variability due to a persistent marine layer and consistent onshore flow from the Pacific. This setup suppresses significant warming, keeping readings close to the August climatological average of roughly 67°F while allowing modest afternoon peaks near 68–70°F when skies clear enough for brief solar heating.
Recent data reinforce this positioning: highs have clustered tightly between 66–69°F over the past week amid a quasi-stationary weather pattern, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow to drive a heat surge. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather points to similar conditions on the 21st, with highs forecast around 68–70°F and low odds of exceeding 72°F or falling below 66°F. The market’s implied probabilities align closely with these near-term guidance trends, as traders weigh the low likelihood of rapid pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,554Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in San Francisco on August 21, 2026, centers on 68–69°F as the most probable outcome, reflecting a stable marine-influenced pattern typical of late summer in the region.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and recent observations show daily highs holding in the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited day-to-day variability due to a persistent marine layer and consistent onshore flow from the Pacific. This setup suppresses significant warming, keeping readings close to the August climatological average of roughly 67°F while allowing modest afternoon peaks near 68–70°F when skies clear enough for brief solar heating. Recent data reinforce this positioning: highs have clustered tightly between 66–69°F over the past week amid a quasi-stationary weather pattern, with no strong high-pressure ridge or offshore flow to drive a heat surge. Model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather points to similar conditions on the 21st, with highs forecast around 68–70°F and low odds of exceeding 72°F or falling below 66°F. The market’s implied probabilities align closely with these near-term guidance trends, as traders weigh the low likelihood of rapid pattern changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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