Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
59%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 59%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
29°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
22°C or below
$100 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$13 Vol.
1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$8 Vol.
3%
26°C
$64 Vol.
13%
27°C
$301 Vol.
59%
28°C
$52 Vol.
27%
29°C
$117 Vol.
3%
30°C
$49 Vol.
1%
31°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,212Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,212Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models points to an overnight low near 27°C in Shanghai on August 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and moderating humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon in late summer. Subtropical conditions and recent patterns of daily lows around 25–26°C have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima from dropping further while preventing extreme heat buildup. Historical August baselines for the region show average lows of 25–28°C, with trader-implied probabilities heavily favoring 26–28°C outcomes reflecting this stability amid uncertain steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the official minimum reading.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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