Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a highest temperature near 78–81°F on August 21, driven by persistent onshore flow, a strengthening marine layer, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation that caps inland heating. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport show highs in the low-to-mid 80s amid similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 80–81°F bin. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only limited upside risk from any temporary offshore flow or reduced stratus; traders appear to weight the official forecast consensus and historical August coastal maxima heavily when pricing these narrow ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 10%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 46%
78-79°F 34%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 10%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
46%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for coastal Los Angeles point to a highest temperature near 78–81°F on August 21, driven by persistent onshore flow, a strengthening marine layer, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation that caps inland heating. Recent observations from Los Angeles International Airport show highs in the low-to-mid 80s amid similar synoptic conditions, supporting the market’s heaviest volume on the 80–81°F bin. Ensemble spread remains modest, with only limited upside risk from any temporary offshore flow or reduced stratus; traders appear to weight the official forecast consensus and historical August coastal maxima heavily when pricing these narrow ranges.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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