Forecast uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions drives the closely matched Polymarket odds for Ankara’s August 24 minimum temperature, with 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher both near 47 % while exact values cluster around 43 %. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models currently projects overnight lows of 17–19 °C after daytime highs near 33–35 °C, consistent with August climatology. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and local urban heat-island effects creates the narrow probability distribution traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary synoptic station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 24?
27°C or higher 93%
21°C 86%
23°C 86%
24°C 86%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
47%
18°C
44%
19°C
26%
20°C
44%
21°C
86%
22°C
50%
23°C
86%
24°C
86%
25°C
86%
26°C
86%
27°C or higher
93%
27°C or higher 93%
21°C 86%
23°C 86%
24°C 86%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
18°C
$0 Vol.
44%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$4 Vol.
44%
21°C
$5 Vol.
86%
22°C
$5 Vol.
50%
23°C
$5 Vol.
86%
24°C
$5 Vol.
86%
25°C
$5 Vol.
86%
26°C
$5 Vol.
86%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions drives the closely matched Polymarket odds for Ankara’s August 24 minimum temperature, with 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher both near 47 % while exact values cluster around 43 %. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models currently projects overnight lows of 17–19 °C after daytime highs near 33–35 °C, consistent with August climatology. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and local urban heat-island effects creates the narrow probability distribution traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$39Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions drives the closely matched Polymarket odds for Ankara’s August 24 minimum temperature, with 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher both near 47 % while exact values cluster around 43 %. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models currently projects overnight lows of 17–19 °C after daytime highs near 33–35 °C, consistent with August climatology. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and local urban heat-island effects creates the narrow probability distribution traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary synoptic station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling under clear, high-pressure conditions drives the closely matched Polymarket odds for Ankara’s August 24 minimum temperature, with 17 °C or below and 27 °C or higher both near 47 % while exact values cluster around 43 %. Official guidance from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European models currently projects overnight lows of 17–19 °C after daytime highs near 33–35 °C, consistent with August climatology. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and local urban heat-island effects creates the narrow probability distribution traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary synoptic station.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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