Recent forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity over Ankara on August 22, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after a daytime high near 35°C. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius at official stations such as Esenboğa, with model consensus centering around 17–19°C but allowing for 1–2°C spread due to variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression. Traders’ tight clustering around 13–17°C reflects uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid dry continental air and stable high pressure, with resolution hinging on the 24-hour lowest reading reported by 06:00 local time on August 23.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
17°C 46%
15°C 36%
14°C 28%
13°C 27%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
36%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 46%
15°C 36%
14°C 28%
13°C 27%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
36%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and low humidity over Ankara on August 22, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling after a daytime high near 35°C. This setup typically produces minimum temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius at official stations such as Esenboğa, with model consensus centering around 17–19°C but allowing for 1–2°C spread due to variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact dew-point depression. Traders’ tight clustering around 13–17°C reflects uncertainty in the precise overnight minimum amid dry continental air and stable high pressure, with resolution hinging on the 24-hour lowest reading reported by 06:00 local time on August 23.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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