Multiple meteorological models and agency forecasts for Ankara on August 22 project a daytime maximum of 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. This consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and regional outlooks underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Recent stability in atmospheric patterns has produced no major revisions, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the expected range while assigning negligible odds to extremes outside historical August norms for the region. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty typical of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
35°C 56%
34°C 40%
36°C 5%
33°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
40%
35°C
56%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 40%
36°C 5%
33°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
$222 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$610 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,311 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,645 Vol.
40%
35°C
$2,141 Vol.
56%
36°C
$837 Vol.
5%
37°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$1,396 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple meteorological models and agency forecasts for Ankara on August 22 project a daytime maximum of 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. This consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and regional outlooks underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Recent stability in atmospheric patterns has produced no major revisions, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the expected range while assigning negligible odds to extremes outside historical August norms for the region. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty typical of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,942Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple meteorological models and agency forecasts for Ankara on August 22 project a daytime maximum of 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. This consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and regional outlooks underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Recent stability in atmospheric patterns has produced no major revisions, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the expected range while assigning negligible odds to extremes outside historical August norms for the region. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty typical of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,942Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple meteorological models and agency forecasts for Ankara on August 22 project a daytime maximum of 34–35°C under sunny skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover. This consensus from sources including the Met Office, BBC Weather, and regional outlooks underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Recent stability in atmospheric patterns has produced no major revisions, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around the expected range while assigning negligible odds to extremes outside historical August norms for the region. Traders appear to be pricing in the narrow uncertainty typical of short-range temperature forecasts this close to the observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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