Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's August 23 maximum near 35–36°C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, yet the even distribution of market-implied probabilities across 32–36°C reflects remaining uncertainty in short-range guidance. Daytime heating will be driven by strong solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to allow surface temperatures to climb several degrees above seasonal normals of 29–32°C. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or slight increase in boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 2–3°C, keeping the central outcomes closely bunched until the final model runs and observational updates arrive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 23?
35°C 44%
34°C 43%
33°C 14%
36°C 8%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
43%
35°C
44%
36°C
8%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 44%
34°C 43%
33°C 14%
36°C 8%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
43%
35°C
44%
36°C
8%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Ankara's August 23 maximum near 35–36°C under persistent high pressure and mostly clear skies, yet the even distribution of market-implied probabilities across 32–36°C reflects remaining uncertainty in short-range guidance. Daytime heating will be driven by strong solar insolation typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds expected to allow surface temperatures to climb several degrees above seasonal normals of 29–32°C. Small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage or slight increase in boundary-layer moisture could shift the peak by 2–3°C, keeping the central outcomes closely bunched until the final model runs and observational updates arrive.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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