Recent high temperatures in Miami, including a tie of the all-time record at 100°F on August 18 amid a regional heat wave, have elevated trader focus on above-average outcomes, yet forecasts for August 21 center on 92–95°F due to typical subtropical August dynamics. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in the region per National Weather Service patterns—often cap daily maxima near or slightly above the 89°F climatological average, while dew points near 75°F sustain heat indices above 100°F. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and NWS points to mostly sunny mornings transitioning to convective activity, limiting extremes beyond 95°F without a stronger high-pressure ridge. This positions the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in peak summer readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 21?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 21?
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
56%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 56%
94-95°F 27%
90-91°F 12%
96-97°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
85°F or below
$287 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$263 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$301 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$561 Vol.
12%
92-93°F
$1,079 Vol.
56%
94-95°F
$452 Vol.
27%
96-97°F
$162 Vol.
4%
98-99°F
$318 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$159 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$458 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high temperatures in Miami, including a tie of the all-time record at 100°F on August 18 amid a regional heat wave, have elevated trader focus on above-average outcomes, yet forecasts for August 21 center on 92–95°F due to typical subtropical August dynamics. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in the region per National Weather Service patterns—often cap daily maxima near or slightly above the 89°F climatological average, while dew points near 75°F sustain heat indices above 100°F. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and NWS points to mostly sunny mornings transitioning to convective activity, limiting extremes beyond 95°F without a stronger high-pressure ridge. This positions the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in peak summer readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,424Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high temperatures in Miami, including a tie of the all-time record at 100°F on August 18 amid a regional heat wave, have elevated trader focus on above-average outcomes, yet forecasts for August 21 center on 92–95°F due to typical subtropical August dynamics. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in the region per National Weather Service patterns—often cap daily maxima near or slightly above the 89°F climatological average, while dew points near 75°F sustain heat indices above 100°F. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and NWS points to mostly sunny mornings transitioning to convective activity, limiting extremes beyond 95°F without a stronger high-pressure ridge. This positions the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in peak summer readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,424Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high temperatures in Miami, including a tie of the all-time record at 100°F on August 18 amid a regional heat wave, have elevated trader focus on above-average outcomes, yet forecasts for August 21 center on 92–95°F due to typical subtropical August dynamics. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorms—common in the region per National Weather Service patterns—often cap daily maxima near or slightly above the 89°F climatological average, while dew points near 75°F sustain heat indices above 100°F. Model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and NWS points to mostly sunny mornings transitioning to convective activity, limiting extremes beyond 95°F without a stronger high-pressure ridge. This positions the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins as market leaders, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of forecast uncertainty and historical variability in peak summer readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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