Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 21?
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 29%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
99°F or below
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
51%
106-107°F
29%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 51%
106-107°F 29%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
99°F or below
$2,107 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$257 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$291 Vol.
13%
104-105°F
$278 Vol.
51%
106-107°F
$182 Vol.
29%
108-109°F
$48 Vol.
9%
110-111°F
$23 Vol.
2%
112-113°F
$100 Vol.
1%
114-115°F
$237 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$39 Vol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,929Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,929Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a high near 104–106°F for Dallas on August 21 under continued hot, mostly sunny conditions driven by a strong subtropical ridge and southerly flow. This consensus, aligned with typical late-August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the low-to-mid 100s, concentrates trader-implied probability on the 104–105°F and 106–107°F bins. Limited moisture may allow isolated afternoon thunderstorms, but any cooling effect appears marginal in the latest runs. Updated short-range model output and official NWS briefings expected today remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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