Recent model consensus from NOAA and National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 80–83°F in Central Park on August 23, driven by weak southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderating sea-breeze effects along the coast. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture are limiting daytime heating despite seasonal solar angles, while a weak upper-level trough keeps instability low and prevents stronger warm advection. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island amplification, with any increase in afternoon sun or slightly drier air potentially pushing readings into the low 80s. Updated short-range model runs and the 6 a.m. local forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the clearest signals for final market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$143 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$20 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$15 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$141 Vol.
10%
80-81°F
$177 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$154 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$125 Vol.
14%
86-87°F
$49 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$30 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$30 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 80–83°F in Central Park on August 23, driven by weak southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderating sea-breeze effects along the coast. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture are limiting daytime heating despite seasonal solar angles, while a weak upper-level trough keeps instability low and prevents stronger warm advection. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island amplification, with any increase in afternoon sun or slightly drier air potentially pushing readings into the low 80s. Updated short-range model runs and the 6 a.m. local forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the clearest signals for final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,024Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 80–83°F in Central Park on August 23, driven by weak southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderating sea-breeze effects along the coast. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture are limiting daytime heating despite seasonal solar angles, while a weak upper-level trough keeps instability low and prevents stronger warm advection. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island amplification, with any increase in afternoon sun or slightly drier air potentially pushing readings into the low 80s. Updated short-range model runs and the 6 a.m. local forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the clearest signals for final market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,024Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from NOAA and National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 80–83°F in Central Park on August 23, driven by weak southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderating sea-breeze effects along the coast. Light winds and modest boundary-layer moisture are limiting daytime heating despite seasonal solar angles, while a weak upper-level trough keeps instability low and prevents stronger warm advection. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing and urban heat-island amplification, with any increase in afternoon sun or slightly drier air potentially pushing readings into the low 80s. Updated short-range model runs and the 6 a.m. local forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the clearest signals for final market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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