Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 22?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 22?
22°C 39%
23°C 25%
21°C 19%
24°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
4%
21°C
19%
22°C
39%
23°C
25%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 25%
21°C 19%
24°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$12 Vol.
4%
21°C
$10 Vol.
19%
22°C
$36 Vol.
39%
23°C
$39 Vol.
25%
24°C
$60 Vol.
12%
25°C
$30 Vol.
2%
26°C
$41 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$386Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$386Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models place Munich's August 22 maximum near 22–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and modest daytime heating. This narrow range, reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds of 38.5% for 22°C and 31.5% for 23°C, stems from subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°C. Historical August averages around 22°C provide climatological context, while ensemble spread in short-range guidance highlights the remaining uncertainty ahead of final model runs. Traders weigh these variables against official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service as resolution nears.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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