Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 22 °C across London on 22 August, anchoring the market’s leading 35.5 % probability for that outcome while the tight clustering around 21–23 °C reflects residual model spread. A weakening high-pressure ridge is yielding to Atlantic low-pressure systems that introduce variable cloud cover and light showers, limiting afternoon heating and keeping peak temperatures near the long-term August average of 22 °C. Ensemble runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could nudge the recorded high one degree either way at official stations such as Heathrow. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud or precipitation timing that would alter the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 22?
Highest temperature in London on August 22?
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
24°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
27%
22°C
36%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
24°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$90 Vol.
1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
2%
20°C
$19 Vol.
8%
21°C
$442 Vol.
27%
22°C
$463 Vol.
36%
23°C
$343 Vol.
22%
24°C
$199 Vol.
8%
25°C
$333 Vol.
2%
26°C
$740 Vol.
1%
27°C
$2,080 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 22 °C across London on 22 August, anchoring the market’s leading 35.5 % probability for that outcome while the tight clustering around 21–23 °C reflects residual model spread. A weakening high-pressure ridge is yielding to Atlantic low-pressure systems that introduce variable cloud cover and light showers, limiting afternoon heating and keeping peak temperatures near the long-term August average of 22 °C. Ensemble runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could nudge the recorded high one degree either way at official stations such as Heathrow. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud or precipitation timing that would alter the precise peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 22 °C across London on 22 August, anchoring the market’s leading 35.5 % probability for that outcome while the tight clustering around 21–23 °C reflects residual model spread. A weakening high-pressure ridge is yielding to Atlantic low-pressure systems that introduce variable cloud cover and light showers, limiting afternoon heating and keeping peak temperatures near the long-term August average of 22 °C. Ensemble runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could nudge the recorded high one degree either way at official stations such as Heathrow. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud or precipitation timing that would alter the precise peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,511Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a daytime maximum of 22 °C across London on 22 August, anchoring the market’s leading 35.5 % probability for that outcome while the tight clustering around 21–23 °C reflects residual model spread. A weakening high-pressure ridge is yielding to Atlantic low-pressure systems that introduce variable cloud cover and light showers, limiting afternoon heating and keeping peak temperatures near the long-term August average of 22 °C. Ensemble runs show only modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that could nudge the recorded high one degree either way at official stations such as Heathrow. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders are watching the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for any shift in cloud or precipitation timing that would alter the precise peak.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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