Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
$3,703 Vol.
$3,703 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
$3,703 Vol.
$3,703 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
$310 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$275 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$279 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$279 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$32 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$290 Vol.
Yes
60-61°F
$344 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$355 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$305 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$124 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$1,110 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$3,703Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,703Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the San Francisco Bay Area recorded a daily minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 24, anchoring the market’s 100% implied probability on that bin. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow suppressed overnight radiative cooling, producing values near the upper end of the climatological August low range (typically 54–60°F). Model guidance and surface analyses showed no heat wave or clear-sky anomaly that would have driven readings lower or higher. Resolution hinges on the designated station’s final verified data; minor adjustments from quality control or use of an alternate site remain the only realistic paths for any shift, though current consensus across reporting networks strongly supports the observed range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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