Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS show the overnight low in San Francisco on August 31 likely reaching the upper 50s°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56.1°F and recent observed lows near 55–57°F. Persistent onshore southwest flow, a stable marine layer, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific keep minimum temperatures in this range, with limited diurnal warming expected under mostly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 56–59°F outcomes aligns with this model agreement and historical precedent, while lower-probability bins account for possible measurement variability at official stations or minor shifts in wind patterns ahead of final resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 31?
66°F or higher 60%
47°F or below 59%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
59%
48-49°F
41%
50-51°F
41%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66°F or higher
60%
66°F or higher 60%
47°F or below 59%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
59%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
41%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
41%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
49%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
32%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
40%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
49%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS show the overnight low in San Francisco on August 31 likely reaching the upper 50s°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56.1°F and recent observed lows near 55–57°F. Persistent onshore southwest flow, a stable marine layer, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific keep minimum temperatures in this range, with limited diurnal warming expected under mostly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 56–59°F outcomes aligns with this model agreement and historical precedent, while lower-probability bins account for possible measurement variability at official stations or minor shifts in wind patterns ahead of final resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS show the overnight low in San Francisco on August 31 likely reaching the upper 50s°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56.1°F and recent observed lows near 55–57°F. Persistent onshore southwest flow, a stable marine layer, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific keep minimum temperatures in this range, with limited diurnal warming expected under mostly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 56–59°F outcomes aligns with this model agreement and historical precedent, while lower-probability bins account for possible measurement variability at official stations or minor shifts in wind patterns ahead of final resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as GFS show the overnight low in San Francisco on August 31 likely reaching the upper 50s°F, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 56.1°F and recent observed lows near 55–57°F. Persistent onshore southwest flow, a stable marine layer, and typical August coastal cooling from the Pacific keep minimum temperatures in this range, with limited diurnal warming expected under mostly cloudy conditions. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 56–59°F outcomes aligns with this model agreement and historical precedent, while lower-probability bins account for possible measurement variability at official stations or minor shifts in wind patterns ahead of final resolution. Updated NWS guidance and next model cycles will refine exact thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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