Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation over Tokyo on August 29, suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of ~31 °C. Highs are projected near 27–29 °C with elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (28.5 %). Minor model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates the observed dispersion toward 26 °C, while the low odds on 29 °C or higher reflect limited potential for brief clearing that would allow stronger afternoon heating. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 39%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
BARU
$10,601 Vol.
BARU
$10,601 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
39%
28°C
29%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
BARU
$10,601 Vol.
BARU
$10,601 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$587 Vol.
1%
25°C
$369 Vol.
6%
26°C
$2,466 Vol.
15%
27°C
$1,187 Vol.
39%
28°C
$1,049 Vol.
29%
29°C
$1,322 Vol.
11%
30°C
$888 Vol.
3%
31°C
$115 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation over Tokyo on August 29, suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of ~31 °C. Highs are projected near 27–29 °C with elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (28.5 %). Minor model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates the observed dispersion toward 26 °C, while the low odds on 29 °C or higher reflect limited potential for brief clearing that would allow stronger afternoon heating. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,601Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation over Tokyo on August 29, suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of ~31 °C. Highs are projected near 27–29 °C with elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (28.5 %). Minor model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates the observed dispersion toward 26 °C, while the low odds on 29 °C or higher reflect limited potential for brief clearing that would allow stronger afternoon heating. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,601Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models point to a stationary front delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and reduced solar insolation over Tokyo on August 29, suppressing maximum temperatures below seasonal norms of ~31 °C. Highs are projected near 27–29 °C with elevated humidity and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 27 °C (38.5 %) and 28 °C (28.5 %). Minor model spread around precipitation timing and intensity creates the observed dispersion toward 26 °C, while the low odds on 29 °C or higher reflect limited potential for brief clearing that would allow stronger afternoon heating. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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