Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 30, with northerly to northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 17–19°C further cap the peak, consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 27–29°C but often fall short under persistent northerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability on 26°C and 33.5% on 27°C aligns with this guidance, while the slim odds above 28°C account for uncertainty in final model runs and any last-minute clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Updated official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and NWP ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C 46%
27°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
46%
27°C
34%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
27°C 34%
25°C 13%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$40 Vol.
7%
25°C
$48 Vol.
13%
26°C
$44 Vol.
46%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$24 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 30, with northerly to northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 17–19°C further cap the peak, consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 27–29°C but often fall short under persistent northerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability on 26°C and 33.5% on 27°C aligns with this guidance, while the slim odds above 28°C account for uncertainty in final model runs and any last-minute clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Updated official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and NWP ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$191Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 30, with northerly to northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 17–19°C further cap the peak, consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 27–29°C but often fall short under persistent northerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability on 26°C and 33.5% on 27°C aligns with this guidance, while the slim odds above 28°C account for uncertainty in final model runs and any last-minute clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Updated official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and NWP ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$191Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and European ensembles point to a maximum of 26–28°C in Istanbul on August 30, with northerly to northeasterly winds advecting cooler maritime air and limiting daytime heating after scattered showers on the 28th–29th. Partly cloudy skies and dew points near 17–19°C further cap the peak, consistent with late-August climatology where highs average 27–29°C but often fall short under persistent northerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in the 47% implied probability on 26°C and 33.5% on 27°C aligns with this guidance, while the slim odds above 28°C account for uncertainty in final model runs and any last-minute clearing that could allow slightly stronger insolation. Updated official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and NWP ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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