Forecast models indicate a modest temperature peak for Istanbul on August 29 driven by increased northerly flow and intermittent cloud cover following showers on the 28th. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Tutiempo, and Ventusky places daytime maxima between 25–28 °C, with several runs clustering near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds that limit diurnal warming. This aligns with a broader late-August cooling trend relative to seasonal averages near 28–29 °C, as reduced insolation and boundary-layer mixing suppress the highest readings. Trader sentiment favoring 24–25 °C reflects these near-term model signals and the low likelihood of rapid clearing that would allow stronger surface heating. Updated ensemble runs and regional observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 29?
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C 14%
23°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
6%
25°C 43%
24°C 36%
26°C 14%
23°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
36%
25°C
43%
26°C
14%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a modest temperature peak for Istanbul on August 29 driven by increased northerly flow and intermittent cloud cover following showers on the 28th. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Tutiempo, and Ventusky places daytime maxima between 25–28 °C, with several runs clustering near 25–26 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds that limit diurnal warming. This aligns with a broader late-August cooling trend relative to seasonal averages near 28–29 °C, as reduced insolation and boundary-layer mixing suppress the highest readings. Trader sentiment favoring 24–25 °C reflects these near-term model signals and the low likelihood of rapid clearing that would allow stronger surface heating. Updated ensemble runs and regional observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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