Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Istanbul’s August 27 maximum likely peaking near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This pattern favors moderate boundary-layer mixing and limits extreme surface heating, producing a narrow probability distribution centered on 27–28 °C. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the key uncertainty between these two bins, while historical late-August climatology (mean daily maximum ~28 °C) anchors expectations. Fresh model updates and observational trends over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 27?
27°C 48%
28°C 32%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
48%
28°C
32%
29°C
11%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 32%
26°C 13%
29°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$27 Vol.
13%
27°C
$114 Vol.
48%
28°C
$16 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Istanbul’s August 27 maximum likely peaking near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This pattern favors moderate boundary-layer mixing and limits extreme surface heating, producing a narrow probability distribution centered on 27–28 °C. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the key uncertainty between these two bins, while historical late-August climatology (mean daily maximum ~28 °C) anchors expectations. Fresh model updates and observational trends over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$52Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Istanbul’s August 27 maximum likely peaking near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This pattern favors moderate boundary-layer mixing and limits extreme surface heating, producing a narrow probability distribution centered on 27–28 °C. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the key uncertainty between these two bins, while historical late-August climatology (mean daily maximum ~28 °C) anchors expectations. Fresh model updates and observational trends over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from global models show Istanbul’s August 27 maximum likely peaking near 28–30 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This pattern favors moderate boundary-layer mixing and limits extreme surface heating, producing a narrow probability distribution centered on 27–28 °C. Ensemble spread and local sea-breeze timing create the key uncertainty between these two bins, while historical late-August climatology (mean daily maximum ~28 °C) anchors expectations. Fresh model updates and observational trends over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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