Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and extended-range guidance points to daytime maxima of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 25, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (46%) and 27°C (35%). Late-summer climatology under a stable high-pressure regime, combined with moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flow, typically caps extremes while urban heat-island effects introduce narrow uncertainty around official station readings. No significant frontal passages or heat advection are forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping outcomes outside 26–29°C at low implied odds. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 25?
28°C 52%
26°C 42%
27°C 37%
29°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
42%
27°C
37%
28°C
46%
29°C
29%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
5%
28°C 52%
26°C 42%
27°C 37%
29°C 29%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$8 Vol.
46%
29°C
$0 Vol.
29%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$0 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and extended-range guidance points to daytime maxima of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 25, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (46%) and 27°C (35%). Late-summer climatology under a stable high-pressure regime, combined with moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flow, typically caps extremes while urban heat-island effects introduce narrow uncertainty around official station readings. No significant frontal passages or heat advection are forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping outcomes outside 26–29°C at low implied odds. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and extended-range guidance points to daytime maxima of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 25, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (46%) and 27°C (35%). Late-summer climatology under a stable high-pressure regime, combined with moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flow, typically caps extremes while urban heat-island effects introduce narrow uncertainty around official station readings. No significant frontal passages or heat advection are forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping outcomes outside 26–29°C at low implied odds. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and extended-range guidance points to daytime maxima of 27–29°C in Istanbul on August 25, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 28°C (46%) and 27°C (35%). Late-summer climatology under a stable high-pressure regime, combined with moderating influence from the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flow, typically caps extremes while urban heat-island effects introduce narrow uncertainty around official station readings. No significant frontal passages or heat advection are forecast in the next 48 hours, keeping outcomes outside 26–29°C at low implied odds. Updated short-range runs from global ensembles will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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