Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a cool front arriving after August 23's 22–24°C peak, driving daytime highs on August 25 into the 16–19°C range amid westerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers. This shift aligns with seasonal cooling trends and positions 17–18°C as the consensus maximum, matching the market's highest implied probabilities. Uncertainty stems from variable shower timing and intensity, which could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower, while historical August averages near 21°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
16°C 12%
19°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
12%
17°C
35%
18°C
47%
19°C
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
5%
18°C 47%
17°C 35%
16°C 12%
19°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
3%
15°C
$15 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$22 Vol.
35%
18°C
$36 Vol.
47%
19°C
$39 Vol.
12%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$9 Vol.
3%
22°C
$5 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a cool front arriving after August 23's 22–24°C peak, driving daytime highs on August 25 into the 16–19°C range amid westerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers. This shift aligns with seasonal cooling trends and positions 17–18°C as the consensus maximum, matching the market's highest implied probabilities. Uncertainty stems from variable shower timing and intensity, which could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower, while historical August averages near 21°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a cool front arriving after August 23's 22–24°C peak, driving daytime highs on August 25 into the 16–19°C range amid westerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers. This shift aligns with seasonal cooling trends and positions 17–18°C as the consensus maximum, matching the market's highest implied probabilities. Uncertainty stems from variable shower timing and intensity, which could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower, while historical August averages near 21°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a cool front arriving after August 23's 22–24°C peak, driving daytime highs on August 25 into the 16–19°C range amid westerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers. This shift aligns with seasonal cooling trends and positions 17–18°C as the consensus maximum, matching the market's highest implied probabilities. Uncertainty stems from variable shower timing and intensity, which could nudge the peak slightly higher or lower, while historical August averages near 21°C highlight the current anomaly. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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