Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25 °C for Amsterdam on August 25 under easterly flow, with increasing cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 23 °C (26 %), as current guidance shows modest warming relative to the recent cooler spell but falls short of stronger high-pressure setups that produced earlier August peaks above 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August maxima near 21–22 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect a modest positive anomaly tempered by expected cloudiness and the absence of southerly advection. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 25?
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
22°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
13%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
11%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
22°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
13%
23°C
$15 Vol.
24%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
11%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$3 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25 °C for Amsterdam on August 25 under easterly flow, with increasing cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 23 °C (26 %), as current guidance shows modest warming relative to the recent cooler spell but falls short of stronger high-pressure setups that produced earlier August peaks above 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August maxima near 21–22 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect a modest positive anomaly tempered by expected cloudiness and the absence of southerly advection. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25 °C for Amsterdam on August 25 under easterly flow, with increasing cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 23 °C (26 %), as current guidance shows modest warming relative to the recent cooler spell but falls short of stronger high-pressure setups that produced earlier August peaks above 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August maxima near 21–22 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect a modest positive anomaly tempered by expected cloudiness and the absence of southerly advection. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25 °C for Amsterdam on August 25 under easterly flow, with increasing cloud cover and light winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 24 °C (38.5 %) and 23 °C (26 %), as current guidance shows modest warming relative to the recent cooler spell but falls short of stronger high-pressure setups that produced earlier August peaks above 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August maxima near 21–22 °C, so the implied probabilities reflect a modest positive anomaly tempered by expected cloudiness and the absence of southerly advection. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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