Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
101°F or below
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
47%
108-109°F
25%
110-111°F
5%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 47%
108-109°F 25%
104-105°F 21%
110-111°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
101°F or below
$62 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$332 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$193 Vol.
21%
106-107°F
$130 Vol.
47%
108-109°F
$41 Vol.
25%
110-111°F
$5 Vol.
5%
112-113°F
$48 Vol.
2%
114-115°F
$42 Vol.
1%
116-117°F
$50 Vol.
1%
118-119°F
$207 Vol.
<1%
120°F or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,333Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,333Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets converge on a Dallas high near 105–108°F for August 23, 2026, driven by a strong ridge of high pressure, southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover sustaining the ongoing heat wave. This positions 106–107°F as the market favorite at 46.5% implied probability, with adjacent bins capturing typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent days of 103–107°F readings have reinforced trader confidence in the upper end of climatological norms for late August, while limited thunderstorm chances offer only marginal cooling potential before peak heating.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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