Recent model runs and ongoing heatwave conditions in central China, with official Wuhan alerts noting local highs reaching 37°C amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 36°C (31.5%) versus 37°C (32%) as the peak on August 25. Afternoon heating potential under limited cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10% in many ensembles) creates narrow differentiation between these thresholds at the official station, while historical August averages near 33–34°C highlight the elevated baseline. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables likely to shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 25?
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 14%
34°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
14%
36°C
32%
37°C
31%
38°C
14%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
4%
36°C 32%
37°C 31%
35°C 14%
34°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$0 Vol.
14%
36°C
$0 Vol.
32%
37°C
$0 Vol.
31%
38°C
$11 Vol.
14%
39°C
$10 Vol.
4%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and ongoing heatwave conditions in central China, with official Wuhan alerts noting local highs reaching 37°C amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 36°C (31.5%) versus 37°C (32%) as the peak on August 25. Afternoon heating potential under limited cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10% in many ensembles) creates narrow differentiation between these thresholds at the official station, while historical August averages near 33–34°C highlight the elevated baseline. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables likely to shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$21Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and ongoing heatwave conditions in central China, with official Wuhan alerts noting local highs reaching 37°C amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 36°C (31.5%) versus 37°C (32%) as the peak on August 25. Afternoon heating potential under limited cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10% in many ensembles) creates narrow differentiation between these thresholds at the official station, while historical August averages near 33–34°C highlight the elevated baseline. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables likely to shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and ongoing heatwave conditions in central China, with official Wuhan alerts noting local highs reaching 37°C amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds, underpin the near-even market-implied odds for 36°C (31.5%) versus 37°C (32%) as the peak on August 25. Afternoon heating potential under limited cloud cover and low precipitation chances (under 10% in many ensembles) creates narrow differentiation between these thresholds at the official station, while historical August averages near 33–34°C highlight the elevated baseline. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables likely to shift trader sentiment ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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