Trader consensus, as shown in the market-implied odds favoring a 28°C high on August 24 with 44.5% probability, reflects the latest ensemble model runs projecting maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms for late August. Istanbul's Mediterranean climate typically sees highs of 27–29°C this time of year, moderated by Black Sea breezes and the gradual post-peak decline in solar insolation, with limited influence from stronger high-pressure systems or Saharan air intrusions. Recent observational data indicate stable conditions without significant frontal passages or heat advection expected through the short-term forecast window, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 51%
27°C 32%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
32%
28°C
45%
29°C
21%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 51%
27°C 32%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$54 Vol.
6%
27°C
$150 Vol.
32%
28°C
$19 Vol.
45%
29°C
$0 Vol.
21%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1 Vol.
3%
32°C
$5 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus, as shown in the market-implied odds favoring a 28°C high on August 24 with 44.5% probability, reflects the latest ensemble model runs projecting maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms for late August. Istanbul's Mediterranean climate typically sees highs of 27–29°C this time of year, moderated by Black Sea breezes and the gradual post-peak decline in solar insolation, with limited influence from stronger high-pressure systems or Saharan air intrusions. Recent observational data indicate stable conditions without significant frontal passages or heat advection expected through the short-term forecast window, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$244Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus, as shown in the market-implied odds favoring a 28°C high on August 24 with 44.5% probability, reflects the latest ensemble model runs projecting maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms for late August. Istanbul's Mediterranean climate typically sees highs of 27–29°C this time of year, moderated by Black Sea breezes and the gradual post-peak decline in solar insolation, with limited influence from stronger high-pressure systems or Saharan air intrusions. Recent observational data indicate stable conditions without significant frontal passages or heat advection expected through the short-term forecast window, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$244Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus, as shown in the market-implied odds favoring a 28°C high on August 24 with 44.5% probability, reflects the latest ensemble model runs projecting maximum temperatures near or slightly below seasonal norms for late August. Istanbul's Mediterranean climate typically sees highs of 27–29°C this time of year, moderated by Black Sea breezes and the gradual post-peak decline in solar insolation, with limited influence from stronger high-pressure systems or Saharan air intrusions. Recent observational data indicate stable conditions without significant frontal passages or heat advection expected through the short-term forecast window, keeping outcomes clustered tightly around 27–29°C while assigning low probability to extremes above 30°C or below 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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