Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a moderating air mass over central Spain, favoring daily maximum temperatures of 23–26°C in Madrid on August 27 amid weakening high pressure and possible Atlantic influence. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C (29.5%) and 25°C (24.5%), as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or frontal timing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current conditions reflect a cooler-than-normal spell with reduced insolation and variable winds limiting afternoon heating. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution criteria based on official AEMET observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
24°C 30%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
30%
25°C
25%
26°C
14%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
24°C 30%
25°C 25%
23°C 21%
26°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$87 Vol.
4%
22°C
$50 Vol.
4%
23°C
$440 Vol.
21%
24°C
$197 Vol.
30%
25°C
$359 Vol.
25%
26°C
$214 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$24 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a moderating air mass over central Spain, favoring daily maximum temperatures of 23–26°C in Madrid on August 27 amid weakening high pressure and possible Atlantic influence. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C (29.5%) and 25°C (24.5%), as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or frontal timing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current conditions reflect a cooler-than-normal spell with reduced insolation and variable winds limiting afternoon heating. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution criteria based on official AEMET observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,372Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a moderating air mass over central Spain, favoring daily maximum temperatures of 23–26°C in Madrid on August 27 amid weakening high pressure and possible Atlantic influence. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C (29.5%) and 25°C (24.5%), as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or frontal timing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current conditions reflect a cooler-than-normal spell with reduced insolation and variable winds limiting afternoon heating. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution criteria based on official AEMET observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,372Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to a moderating air mass over central Spain, favoring daily maximum temperatures of 23–26°C in Madrid on August 27 amid weakening high pressure and possible Atlantic influence. This explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 24°C (29.5%) and 25°C (24.5%), as small differences in forecast cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or frontal timing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, but current conditions reflect a cooler-than-normal spell with reduced insolation and variable winds limiting afternoon heating. Short-range model updates over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution criteria based on official AEMET observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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